One of these things

It's time to kick it old-school play a game of the perennial Sesame Street favourite, 'One of These Things is Not Like the Others.'  For those readers not familiar with the program and this game, here's a short video of the Cookie Monster that will instruct you in the nuances of the undertaking:




Got it?   Good.   See if you can spot which of these things doesn't belong as we head into the weekend.....

1) Initial jobless claims hit their lowest level since early 2006




2)  As a result, Dec 16 eurodollars have broken a host of moving averages, as well as the trendline from the early April low (which also pretty much hits the 'Summers low' from last September.)




3)  The DXY has surged to its highest level in a month, and looks set to threaten its highs of the year....



4)  The SPX, lifted for several years by a sea of over-abundant liquidity, closed within 0.03% of its all-time high yesterday, with cross asset implied volatilities at local or all-time lows.



Don't worry if you can't get the answer before Cookie finishes his song...you'll probably have another few weeks to answer correctly.....
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Anonymous
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July 25, 2014 at 11:31 AM ×

Initial claims. Only one not completely gamed by central banks.

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Polemic
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July 25, 2014 at 12:29 PM ×

I know .. the invisible inflation chart of invisible inflation. Thats the odd one out !

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Anonymous
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July 25, 2014 at 1:57 PM ×

yes but edu5 & z5 are holding fast, big lvls 4 ticks below, and I pref the trend line from Jan14 onward :(
good stuff as ever MM

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Anonymous
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July 25, 2014 at 2:15 PM ×

There are so many charts out there that are eerily similar to the initial claims chart...

New home sales/mortgage purchase applications:

http://imgur.com/YIbx0CD

Real medium household income/labor force participation rate/average hourly raise YOY/M2 velocity

http://imgur.com/Dgzf9gW

Nonfarm business sector/real medium household income:

http://imgur.com/Pl1sIVM

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abee crombie
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July 25, 2014 at 2:21 PM ×

I'm looking at EDZ5 to make a run. Was that a quadurple botttom in the bund around 1.15%?

The MM ED-Fly is back to almost zero. I guess you are giving the green light. Probably have to put this baby on before next week End of Month figures...

With macro so slow, I had an interesting watch of Cramer last night. When its a go-go market, listen to him! Say what you will but he does well when it gets nutty and most ppl pull back from risk. Thinks FB going to $90

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Leftback
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July 25, 2014 at 2:59 PM ×

Margin hikes yesterday for traders in many futures contracts such as ES. This is one extremely practical non-monetary tool for reining in frothy markets that can and should be used more often.

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Leftback
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July 25, 2014 at 3:17 PM ×

Japan's CPI is now in the 3.5-4.0% range, where it last peaked in 1991. That last peak was followed by a gradual slide back into deflation, and was also accompanied by a delightful 50% drop in the Nikkei. We should all have our eyes open for any signs of JPY strength going forward, as the FX market usually anticipates the BoJ fairly well. At this point, surely an aging Japanese society will have little tolerance for higher inflation brought on by an additional bout of yen devaluation.

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Anonymous
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July 25, 2014 at 3:42 PM ×

Isn't Japan going to raise sales tax again next year?

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Leftback
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July 25, 2014 at 5:46 PM ×

The BoJ are Yenocidal maniacs.

Go on, steal that one, you know you want to.

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