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Archive for 2006
10 observations from the middle of nowhere

10 observations from the middle of nowhere

Macro Man Wednesday, December 27, 2006 25 Comments
Macro Man
1) Just when you think that BAA cannot possibly get any worse, they make an absolute pig's ear of managing difficult weather conditions ...
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Happy Holidays

Happy Holidays

Macro Man Sunday, December 24, 2006 12 Comments
Macro Man
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Risky business

Risky business

Macro Man Friday, December 22, 2006 8 Comments
Macro Man
Is the risky asset sell-off beginning? As he heads off on holiday, Macro Man's financial distress seismograph is beginning to twitch. OK...
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Endangered species?

Endangered species?

Macro Man Thursday, December 21, 2006 12 Comments
Macro Man
So New Zealand GDP was indeed worse than expected . The NZD should suffer here; if it doesn't, it may actually present a nice opportunit...
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Thai'ed up

Macro Man Wednesday, December 20, 2006 8 Comments
Macro Man
It appears that the Thai generals are quick studies, and the swift reversal of the THB lockup for equity investment appears to have staved o...
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Land of confusion

Land of confusion

Macro Man Monday, December 18, 2006 6 Comments
Macro Man
Macro Man's IT department is currently residing in the land of confusion, so the P/L is unavailable today. However the "better reb...
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Twas the night before....the day after?

Macro Man Friday, December 15, 2006 1 Comment
Macro Man
The dollar continues to correct higher today and is rapidly approaching "put up or shut up time." Today's CPI release may tel...
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Portfolio post-mortem

Macro Man Thursday, December 14, 2006 2 Comments
Macro Man
The good news: Trimming short equity and short dollar risk was the right thing to do. The bad news: The remaining equity longs aren't bi...
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Portfolio surgery

Portfolio surgery

Macro Man Thursday, December 14, 2006 Add Comment
Macro Man
Per recent comments, Macro Man jettisons the following losing trades: * Buys back USD/TWD at 32.425 for 2 Feb * Buys back the Aussie equity ...
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Fun with statistics

Macro Man Wednesday, December 13, 2006 10 Comments
Macro Man
Today's retail sales figures looked strong across the board, surprising both Macro man and the market. Fixed income has not liked the da...
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Wednesday bullet points

Macro Man Wednesday, December 13, 2006 Add Comment
Macro Man
* The Fed statement was perhaps slightly softer than Macro Man was expecting, though Lacker's continued dissent prevented it from being ...
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Stock studies extended

Macro Man Tuesday, December 12, 2006 Add Comment
Macro Man
Markets have gone into lock-down mode ahead of today’s FOMC announcement (and, to a lesser degree, the US trade data.) Most trades appear t...
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Beta release

Macro Man Monday, December 11, 2006 6 Comments
Macro Man
Ouch. There’s no other word to describe it. Over the last 24 hours, virtually everything that could have gone wrong, has. The dollar bet has...
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Curiouser and curiouser.....

Macro Man Saturday, December 09, 2006 3 Comments
Macro Man
No one that Macro Man spoke to had any clear idea why the dollar staged such a dramatic and forceful rally late in the day on Friday. Some ...
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Summon Harry Potter!

Macro Man Friday, December 08, 2006 1 Comment
Macro Man
Voldemort is all over the place today!
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Identity crisis

Macro Man Friday, December 08, 2006 Add Comment
Macro Man
Imagine Macro Man’s surprise when he observed his name splashed across the front of the latest edition of Bloomberg Markets magazine . Like...
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Is the dollar about to undermine the stock market?

Macro Man Thursday, December 07, 2006 Add Comment
Macro Man
It’s been a nervous start to the day as markets shift risk ahead of the ECB rate decision/press conference, a slew of Japanese data tonight,...
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Wednesday bullet points

Wednesday bullet points

Macro Man Wednesday, December 06, 2006 1 Comment
Macro Man
* The P/L has taken a hit overnight as equity markets continue to perform strongly. Blogger is once again having upload problems, so Macro M...
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If non-manufacturing ISM is 53 or below....

If non-manufacturing ISM is 53 or below....

Macro Man Tuesday, December 05, 2006 Add Comment
Macro Man
...Macro Man will buy £10 million verus USD at best. If not, he will wait.
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A cautionary tale

Macro Man Tuesday, December 05, 2006 5 Comments
Macro Man
The impressive resilience of equity markets has surprised Macro Man and dented the monthly P/L. Following on from Friday afternoon’s late ra...
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De-(odd)-couple

Macro Man Monday, December 04, 2006 Add Comment
Macro Man
It’s been a quiet start to the week, with stocks, bonds and currencies consolidating after Friday’s explosive moves. The equity consolidatio...
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Macro Man sells 10million EUR/USD at 1.3342

Macro Man sells 10million EUR/USD at 1.3342

Macro Man Friday, December 01, 2006 2 Comments
Macro Man
Take profit. 1.3361 for Jan 4 date.
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OH NO!

OH NO!

Macro Man Friday, December 01, 2006 Add Comment
Macro Man
The pictures below speak for themselves.... Given the Economist’s execrable track record of forecasting, is it time to take profits on the d...
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Treasury short stopped out

Treasury short stopped out

Macro Man Thursday, November 30, 2006 Add Comment
Macro Man
The sub 50 Chicago PMI has prompted the 109 stop loss on the short Treasury position to get filled at 109-01. Fortunately, short equities an...
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'Tis the season

'Tis the season

Macro Man Thursday, November 30, 2006 2 Comments
Macro Man
December 1 is always a significant day chez Macro Man, as it marks the first day that holiday music is played on the stereo. Macro Man full...
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Tidy up time

Tidy up time

Macro Man Wednesday, November 29, 2006 2 Comments
Macro Man
Well, the good news is that the bond short avoided being stopped out by one tick, as the TYZ6 high yesterday was 108-31. The bad news is th...
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Adding to $ short

Adding to $ short

Macro Man Tuesday, November 28, 2006 5 Comments
Macro Man
Macro Man buys another 10 million EUR at 1.3144. Voldemort is reportedly bidding below that level, and barriers at 1.32 beckon....
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Awaiting confirmation

Awaiting confirmation

Macro Man Tuesday, November 28, 2006 Add Comment
Macro Man
Yesterday saw the S&P halt an impressive winning streak, as the index registered a decline of more than 1% for the first time in 95 trad...
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DAX/SPX ratio spread filled

DAX/SPX ratio spread filled

Macro Man Monday, November 27, 2006 Add Comment
Macro Man
Macro Man bought 100 SPH7 at 1400 and sold 170 GXH7 at 6384.
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Judgment Week

Judgment Week

Macro Man Monday, November 27, 2006 2 Comments
Macro Man
The importance of this week in guiding financial market trends for the rest of the year and possibly beyond cannot be overstated. The raft o...
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Mind the gap

Mind the gap

Macro Man Monday, November 27, 2006 Add Comment
Macro Man
The USD gapped sharply lower in the Asian opening, a relative rarity in foreign exchange. Although the buck has retraced much of its loss ag...
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Whither the dollar?  Reply to a poster

Whither the dollar? Reply to a poster

Macro Man Friday, November 24, 2006 1 Comment
Macro Man
Is this the big dollar downmove? Well, that is what I am wrestling with. While the dollar's price has changed, that is a necessary but n...
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FX explosion!

FX explosion!

Macro Man Friday, November 24, 2006 2 Comments
Macro Man
Ranges have finally broken in FX, with EUR/USD surging above 1.30. Macro Man was filled at 1.3005 on his 10 million stop loss. He will now...
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Turkey Day

Turkey Day

Macro Man Thursday, November 23, 2006 1 Comment
Macro Man
As Americans prepare to settle into their annual orgy of food and televised sport, financial markets are surprisingly (and irritatingly) vol...
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Dollar downtrend?

Dollar downtrend?

Macro Man Wednesday, November 22, 2006 Add Comment
Macro Man
Currencyland has risen from its long slumber today as the dollar has gotten creamed against most of its G10 counterparts. While most curren...
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Limp out of EUR/JPY

Limp out of EUR/JPY

Macro Man Wednesday, November 22, 2006 Add Comment
Macro Man
Macro Man will attempt to leg, rather than limp, out of the EUR/JPY 'hedge' by buying $12.5 million USD/JPY at 116.80 and then biddi...
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Chinese whispers

Chinese whispers

Macro Man Wednesday, November 22, 2006 3 Comments
Macro Man
As the holiday season moves swiftly towards us, the noise-to-signal ratio in financial markets approaches infinity. The level of frustration...
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Random shots

Random shots

Macro Man Tuesday, November 21, 2006 4 Comments
Macro Man
What would you rather be: a financial market trader or an American turkey? The lack of action in these markets is so dire, Macro Man is swi...
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      • 10 observations from the middle of nowhere
      • Happy Holidays
      • Risky business
      • Endangered species?
      • Thai'ed up
      • Land of confusion
      • Twas the night before....the day after?
      • Portfolio post-mortem
      • Portfolio surgery
      • Fun with statistics
      • Wednesday bullet points
      • Stock studies extended
      • Beta release
      • Curiouser and curiouser.....
      • Summon Harry Potter!
      • Identity crisis
      • Is the dollar about to undermine the stock market?
      • Wednesday bullet points
      • If non-manufacturing ISM is 53 or below....
      • A cautionary tale
      • De-(odd)-couple
      • Macro Man sells 10million EUR/USD at 1.3342
      • OH NO!
    • ►  November (35)
      • Treasury short stopped out
      • 'Tis the season
      • Tidy up time
      • Adding to $ short
      • Awaiting confirmation
      • DAX/SPX ratio spread filled
      • Judgment Week
      • Mind the gap
      • Whither the dollar? Reply to a poster
      • FX explosion!
      • Turkey Day
      • Dollar downtrend?
      • Limp out of EUR/JPY
      • Chinese whispers
      • Random shots
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