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Archive for February 2016

Stepping back into macro

Macro Man Monday, February 29, 2016 22 Comments
Macro Man
It seems only fitting given today is Leap Day that Macro Man take a large step back from focusing on intraday noise and get back to looking ...
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Does JBTD actually work?

Macro Man Friday, February 26, 2016 53 Comments
Macro Man
Macro Man was pleased to see that others found yesterday's study as interesting as he did, though amusingly not every interpretation was...
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How unusual are this market's intraday bounces?

Macro Man Thursday, February 25, 2016 41 Comments
Macro Man
The W survives to live another day.   While Tuesday's equity market weakness looked set to continue for reasons that weren't entire...
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F(oil)ed again

Macro Man Wednesday, February 24, 2016 59 Comments
Macro Man
Just when you thought the reflation trade might be getting a head of steam, equities ran into a tumbling crude market, which itself ran into...
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Disequilibrium

Macro Man Tuesday, February 23, 2016 24 Comments
Macro Man
Another day, another equity rally.  The SPX has managed to take its year-to-date loss below 5%, and while most other major indices have fare...
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Slippery slopes

Macro Man Monday, February 22, 2016 32 Comments
Macro Man
Macro Man is back from his little ski trip, suitably chastened by the knowledge that the soon-to-be 14 year old Macro Boy the Elder is now t...
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3 quick points

Macro Man Wednesday, February 17, 2016 84 Comments
Macro Man
Macro Man's a bit pressed for time, so today's post is confined to three quick observations: * Going for the W?   The SPX has now ...
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While the bear's away, the bulls will play.

Macro Man Tuesday, February 16, 2016 27 Comments
Macro Man
While the bear's away, the bulls will play.   Such, it seems, is the lesson from yesterday, when a poor Japanese GDP figure and an uncha...
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Bank Holiday Special 2: Number Crunching with the Chinese

Macro Man Monday, February 15, 2016 13 Comments
Macro Man
0.3%  Change in RMB fix vs the USD, prompting global equity rally and hosannahs from the press. -0.05%   Change in RMB fix versus t...
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Bank Holiday Special: Teaching your kids about NIRP

Bank Holiday Special: Teaching your kids about NIRP

Macro Man Monday, February 15, 2016 6 Comments
Macro Man
Macro Man is certain that many readers have children who, like the Macro Boys, have heard that world stock markets are tumbling but are unsu...
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How do you judge liquidity in a bond for which there's no price?

Macro Man Friday, February 12, 2016 72 Comments
Macro Man
Another day, another hopeful rumor that takes equity prices back from the brink.   This time, it was a hint of a suggestion that oil produce...
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I Should Coco

Macro Man Thursday, February 11, 2016 86 Comments
Macro Man
Just imagine the scenario.   It's early-mid 2014, and while standard credit indices are doing just fine, there's a hot new asset i...
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Abort, Retry, Fail?

Macro Man Wednesday, February 10, 2016 83 Comments
Macro Man
Well, golllllly.  Who knew that a judiciously-leaked story that DB was considering buying back a few billion euros' worth of senior deb...
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Catharsis or beginning?

Macro Man Tuesday, February 09, 2016 93 Comments
Macro Man
Much of Monday's price action resembled a climactic denouement, at least until the last couple of hours of the US session.  The subseque...
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      • Stepping back into macro
      • Does JBTD actually work?
      • How unusual are this market's intraday bounces?
      • F(oil)ed again
      • Disequilibrium
      • Slippery slopes
      • 3 quick points
      • While the bear's away, the bulls will play.
      • Bank Holiday Special 2: Number Crunching with the ...
      • Bank Holiday Special: Teaching your kids about NIRP
      • How do you judge liquidity in a bond for which the...
      • I Should Coco
      • Abort, Retry, Fail?
      • Catharsis or beginning?
      • Just say no to equity market drugs
      • Prepare for the worst, and you'll rarely be disapp...
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      • Fire the script-writer!
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      • Japan steps through the looking-glass
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