School's out for summer today, so Macro Man's taking the day off from watching markets to take the Macro Boys to the beach. Normal service resumes next week.
Here's hoping the market treats readers as gently as the England defence treated Luis Suarez....
Here's hoping the market treats readers as gently as the England defence treated Luis Suarez....
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Click here for commentsThanks MM, that video just makes me feel old ;-)
ReplyThe Asset-Rich, Income-Poor Economy, Druckenmiller and Feds Warsh in WSJ
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Enjoy the beach, MM. LB is at lunch, having another slice of Humble Pie, (this tastes a lot like a s**t sandwich), as another small heaping of puts expires, along with the hopes of the England football team. Meanwhile the CONCACAF teams have already won three games, which is three more than England, Portugal and Spain combined...
ReplyMeanwhile, if markets peak on Good News, there it is, like a beacon. It is the Q2 GDP release, out there ahead of us on July 30. Our present expectation is that MM is correct and that the recent snoozeworthy market conditions remain in place until then. Fans of US fixed income will likely have to endure more media frenzy around each data blip, and also survive the July auctions, but should be rewarded for their patience.
ReplyWith the much-ballyhooed Q2 "US recovery" of [4-5% Q2 '14 and 3% 2014] likely to be revealed as closer to [3.5% Q2 '14 and 1.5% 2014], and with precious little of the QE elixir left in Dame Janet's decanter, it's not difficult to see August being The Beginning of the End of The World as We Know It, at least as far as the low volatility, endless sea of liquidity regime is concerned.
"...it's not difficult to see August being The Beginning of the End of The World as We Know It, at least as far as the low volatility, endless sea of liquidity regime is concerned."
ReplyCould you expand on that, LB? Should I buy VXX calls?
GDP release ain't no market mover - your puts expired and you now wish to save a month of theta before reentering well market is never that cute, it will tank precisely when most expect it to be quiet i.e the next 4 weeks. Why? just because
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