tag:blogger.com,1999:blog-34323687.post3035089344826441621..comments2024-03-29T09:14:16.561+00:00Comments on Macro Man: CAD and NAFTA Risk: Show Me The MoneyMacro Manhttp://www.blogger.com/profile/12324967552369915949noreply@blogger.comBlogger48125tag:blogger.com,1999:blog-34323687.post-85945003315706358432022-10-26T14:41:41.371+01:002022-10-26T14:41:41.371+01:00สล็อต ออนไลน์ เป็นแบบเกม เว็บไซต์สล็อต สล็อตออนไลน...สล็อต ออนไลน์ เป็นแบบเกม เว็บไซต์สล็อต สล็อตออนไลน์ ยอดนิยมแล้วก็เป็นที่ชอบใจอย่างยิ่งสำหรับผู้เล่นเกมสล็อตออนไลน์ขณะนี้ด้วยต้นแบบเกมส์ มาแรงและแตกดี แตกง่ายที่สุด ของเรา พีจีสล็อตสล็อต ออนไลน์https://pg-slot.game/noreply@blogger.comtag:blogger.com,1999:blog-34323687.post-82170450681049417772022-10-25T08:21:03.300+01:002022-10-25T08:21:03.300+01:00ทดลอง เล่น สล็อต เกมที่ ถูกออกมาอย่าง มีมาตรฐาน แล...ทดลอง เล่น สล็อต เกมที่ ถูกออกมาอย่าง มีมาตรฐาน และก็ล้ำสมัย มีคุณภาพ ภาพอธิบายที่ถูกดีไซน์มาอย่างงาม ความละเอียดสูง ภาพ3D สามารถเล่นได้ทุกๆที่ เกมสนุก ได้เงินไวต้อง pgslot-th.comทดลอง เล่น สล็อตhttps://pgslot-th.com/noreply@blogger.comtag:blogger.com,1999:blog-34323687.post-19738230338321881642022-10-25T08:09:10.264+01:002022-10-25T08:09:10.264+01:00pg slot 168 เป็นเกมแบบที่เล่นได้บนโทรศัพท์มือถือสบ...pg slot 168 เป็นเกมแบบที่เล่นได้บนโทรศัพท์มือถือสบายใช้งานง่าย มีเกมสล็อตให้เล่นอยู่มากมายเยอะมากได้แก่ พีจีสล็อต สามารถใช้เป็นการพนันลงทุนเล่น เว็บไซต์สล็อตของการเล่นเกมpg slot 168https://pg-slot.game/noreply@blogger.comtag:blogger.com,1999:blog-34323687.post-4801157008356507592021-04-30T21:51:43.999+01:002021-04-30T21:51:43.999+01:00its been long since i saw a post that's so edu...its been long since i saw a post that's so educative and informational. i will make sure to share this my facebook group. you can also view contents on our websites below.<br /><br /><a href="french%20bulldog%20breeders" rel="nofollow">French Bulldog Puppies For Sale</a><br /><br /><a href="French%20Bulldog%20Puppies%20For%20Sale" rel="nofollow">French Bulldog Breeders</a><br /><br /><a href="French%20Bulldog%20Puppies%20For%20Sale" rel="nofollow"> French Bulldog Puppies For Sale Near Me</a><br /><br /><a href="French%20Bulldog%20Puppies%20For%20Sale" rel="nofollow"> French Bulldog Puppies For adoption</a><br /><br /><a href="French%20Bulldog%20Puppies%20For%20Sale" rel="nofollow"> French Bulldog Puppies</a> <br /><br /><br /><a href="French%20Bulldog%20Puppies%20For%20Sale" rel="nofollow"> Blue French Bulldog Puppies</a>french bulldog puppies for salehttps://www.blogger.com/profile/00998244040854909412noreply@blogger.comtag:blogger.com,1999:blog-34323687.post-32331965060895519132021-02-03T03:51:37.123+00:002021-02-03T03:51:37.123+00:00Quality articles for those who want to make extra ... 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If you are in need of any kind of loan, i advise you contact Progresive Loan INC and be financially lifted Email: progresiveloan@yahoo.com OR Call/Text +1(603) 786-7565<br /><br /><br /><br />Anonymousnoreply@blogger.comtag:blogger.com,1999:blog-34323687.post-57754011801075273072018-03-19T11:53:10.699+00:002018-03-19T11:53:10.699+00:00Spoos lower this morning, yields and vol both high...Spoos lower this morning, yields and vol both higher ahead of the Fed. <br />A few days watching a re-run of the early February playbook, at least in terms of the "Risk Parity" panic?Leftbackhttps://www.blogger.com/profile/07728096415928915882noreply@blogger.comtag:blogger.com,1999:blog-34323687.post-54659244382060414902018-03-16T21:36:23.597+00:002018-03-16T21:36:23.597+00:00Thank you, IPA.Thank you, IPA.johnohttps://www.blogger.com/profile/11356400378252164259noreply@blogger.comtag:blogger.com,1999:blog-34323687.post-38974325574492992022018-03-16T20:28:29.429+00:002018-03-16T20:28:29.429+00:00Classic Happy Clappy expiration day, pumping furio...Classic Happy Clappy expiration day, pumping furiously all day - right up until the last five minutes dump!<br />Happy weekend all. Fed ahead!!!Leftbackhttps://www.blogger.com/profile/07728096415928915882noreply@blogger.comtag:blogger.com,1999:blog-34323687.post-33491241000422913962018-03-16T19:46:50.106+00:002018-03-16T19:46:50.106+00:00LB is with IPA on this one. Time for another leg d...LB is with IPA on this one. Time for another leg down in credit-sensitive sectors? We're focused on REITs, small caps and high yield into next week's FOMC statement and prognostications. All three categories would seem to be typical pre-recession casualties. Canaries in the coal mine....Leftbackhttps://www.blogger.com/profile/07728096415928915882noreply@blogger.comtag:blogger.com,1999:blog-34323687.post-46583326071165284512018-03-16T18:49:07.800+00:002018-03-16T18:49:07.800+00:00@johno, don't know if this matters for you at ...@johno, don't know if this matters for you at all, but there are bearish chart patterns on both AMZN and GOOG. Former is breaking down from the rising wedge (literally as I type) and the latter has a pronounced double top now.IPAhttps://www.blogger.com/profile/14823892667440934141noreply@blogger.comtag:blogger.com,1999:blog-34323687.post-53182612332892097752018-03-16T18:36:05.674+00:002018-03-16T18:36:05.674+00:00@johno..."unless we're seeing very violen...@johno..."unless we're seeing very violent moves" ...<br /><br />Buckle up, it's gonna get dirty for the next week or so Skrhttps://www.blogger.com/profile/15637819137472818789noreply@blogger.comtag:blogger.com,1999:blog-34323687.post-66870683930284391372018-03-16T17:54:59.114+00:002018-03-16T17:54:59.114+00:00Been busy with arb, which has thrown up some oppor...Been busy with arb, which has thrown up some opportunities (I hope).<br /><br />FRA-OIS move continues. Thank goodness I got out of my toe-dipping trades there. Funny that xccy basis moves the other way. Still don't have a good story to explain the CP issuance there.<br /><br />Another funny thing is the divergence between euro-swiss 30Y differential and EURCHF, which was the favorite overlay chart CHF bulls used this year. <br /><br />Almost all my tactical macro bets are in options now, except for -PLNHUF and -USDIDR. Took off rest of -EURSEK trade. It's still on the high-side of fair, but without a catalyst I'm not pressing that bet further. Do have a bunch of option bets around the pair though. Got lucky with the Polish inflation data. Meanwhile, Indonesian CB continues to defend 13,800. Position has me a bit nervous with Fed coming up and Brainard's comments having me finally believing we'll see 3-4 hikes this year. Also, worry about investment-driven trade balance deterioration driving the currency lower, seeing what happened in Philippines, but don't see anything like the same magnitudes. Seems like you've got carry, valuation, and the central bank all working for you.<br /><br />As much as I want to diversify away from USD, it's hard to think you're expected value is going to beat carry in many of these curves unless global growth picks up (instead of slowing from Q4's pace, as we've seen).<br /><br />No view on US stocks. I stick with big picture view which is buybacks don't end until debt markets shutdown, which is next recession, and that's likely >12 months out. I do think we're early part of "late cycle" though and risk-reward to holding for next 2-3 years isn't great. My solution has been to own stuff like AMZN and GOOG but not have a huge allocation to the market generally. I figure if we get some late-stage blow-off top, I make money in that stuff, while not being over-exposed to an asset class I think is mediocre on a longer horizon. Of course, you could argue that stuff may crash more than the market generally, so my effective exposure is the same. Not sure I agree with that. Certainly GOOG isn't much more expensive than broader market. Anyway, these are views on a probably a longer time frame than you guys are trading. I really don't try to trade equities around unless we're seeing very violent moves ...johnohttps://www.blogger.com/profile/11356400378252164259noreply@blogger.comtag:blogger.com,1999:blog-34323687.post-517052987672097082018-03-16T03:32:09.575+00:002018-03-16T03:32:09.575+00:00For those of us fortunate enough to already be sho...For those of us fortunate enough to already be short US equities as of several days ago, there is nothing else left to do but trail the stop and sit and watch how the show unfolds. This being said, one cannot be ignorant and expect the bulls to roll over and die. Nor can one expect the bears to be brave enough without covering en masse once important levels are reached. I discussed some of those levels above. I would like to introduce one more, but this time it's a pattern that is unfolding and not to be ignored here. SPX inverted head and shoulders is in progress with a 150-point distance, head at 2650, neckline at 2800, and left shoulder at 2700. Working on the right shoulder now.IPAhttps://www.blogger.com/profile/14823892667440934141noreply@blogger.comtag:blogger.com,1999:blog-34323687.post-7662577247962615442018-03-16T00:55:17.298+00:002018-03-16T00:55:17.298+00:00LB has been sitting on his hands but agrees that t...LB has been sitting on his hands but agrees that tomorrow might mark a good entry point following this week's abrupt reversal and lackluster recovery. Early buying and vol selling are traditional for op ex, but the next rate hike and dot plot lie ahead. We will probably return to IWM, beloved of small punters and the instrument we know best for the time being.<br /><br />A shame Larry "King Dollar" Kudlow didn't turn up earlier to save LB's UUP trade, which was blown up by Tariff Talk...Leftbackhttps://www.blogger.com/profile/07728096415928915882noreply@blogger.comtag:blogger.com,1999:blog-34323687.post-76936693707567399442018-03-15T21:24:24.242+00:002018-03-15T21:24:24.242+00:00Just a thought, looks to me like DJIA and SPX are ...Just a thought, looks to me like DJIA and SPX are set to rise further tomorrow and possibly hit their resistance levels to possibly complete bearish formations. If this happens, I'm worried about Monday being quite black, partially due to what I just mentioned, but also due to share buybacks entering into a blackout period. <br /><br />This is problematic since the market has been somewhat reliant on further drops and volatility since the initial correction by the super high levels of buybacks. It wasn't a coincidence that the initial drops and corrections occurred during the buyback blackout period back in January.Scarlet Brandhttps://www.blogger.com/profile/15160929335793407656noreply@blogger.comtag:blogger.com,1999:blog-34323687.post-45897324777242503582018-03-15T13:40:20.604+00:002018-03-15T13:40:20.604+00:00thanks Shawn...now that I have extra time on my ha...thanks Shawn...now that I have extra time on my hands away from the Tour, I am thinking about dabbling in the rates space. more interesting than the tv booth!Anonymousnoreply@blogger.comtag:blogger.com,1999:blog-34323687.post-41267918246941210242018-03-14T18:02:35.664+00:002018-03-14T18:02:35.664+00:00With all the rumblings of an upcoming trade war wi...With all the rumblings of an upcoming trade war with China, I would like to point out an ugly head and shoulders on BA with a 54-point distance and a neckline @ 317. There is also a 65-point channel with lower trendline @ 320-ish on a 2-week decline trajectory. Not gonna be a straight line, so plan accordingly, imho. Targets: 299 (a bear from ATH) and 267 (if wings completely fall off). Been down three days in a row with a bear flag pole distance virtually completed, need to wait for a retrace to the trendline from ATH in order to get a better entry and cheaper puts. The stock was up 160% at ATH from the election day. Plenty folks to part with this one still, I bet. A stampede yet to come?IPAhttps://www.blogger.com/profile/14823892667440934141noreply@blogger.comtag:blogger.com,1999:blog-34323687.post-24456577625633742742018-03-14T16:04:59.549+00:002018-03-14T16:04:59.549+00:00Clue , intraday is in itself usually not worth a c...Clue , intraday is in itself usually not worth a comment UNLESS you are daytrading ,because longer timeframes are dominant. Second clue, The US equity market will determine the significant moneyflow for risk markets and the European market like all others will follow it's lead hence again don't bet on the tail wagging the dog. So, if the US market is risk off ,but the earlier European market as been buying then typically the squeeze will end up in the European action. It's basic stuff.checkmatehttps://www.blogger.com/profile/03688082792316894545noreply@blogger.comtag:blogger.com,1999:blog-34323687.post-34771568872033443912018-03-14T16:02:58.086+00:002018-03-14T16:02:58.086+00:00Welcome to the cuckoo's nest.
Those who are ...Welcome to the cuckoo's nest. <br /><br />Those who are paying attention (and I have to say it is getting harder and harder here) please read my notes on ES/SPX above. If you took the trades, congrats! If you did not, it's ok, there will be plenty more. Draw a trendline from YH. Short the touches. Don't forget to scale out frequently ;)IPAhttps://www.blogger.com/profile/14823892667440934141noreply@blogger.comtag:blogger.com,1999:blog-34323687.post-57390025192844470372018-03-14T14:06:30.511+00:002018-03-14T14:06:30.511+00:00Hey, Tlefty, if you want be to throw a wobbly and ...Hey, Tlefty, if you want be to throw a wobbly and take on the ((FED)) ....let me know. I don't think it will be any trouble putting together a team for a future research note on the forecasting of "hillbilly on the hill" while we're recovering on the beaches on Bloemendaal aan Zee.<br /><br />https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=RqtDTy-EypcAnonymousnoreply@blogger.comtag:blogger.com,1999:blog-34323687.post-5064871740453696272018-03-14T09:35:07.727+00:002018-03-14T09:35:07.727+00:00Hey, Lefty. I'm too busy writing a another pap...Hey, Lefty. I'm too busy writing a another paper on the influence of social media on the markets to worry about the US markets. Oh...don't worry, the US market is doing its best to provoke me....<br /><br />PS...life's good https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=Ox8YCZvG-m4Anonymousnoreply@blogger.comtag:blogger.com,1999:blog-34323687.post-89074100055921054772018-03-14T09:28:55.276+00:002018-03-14T09:28:55.276+00:00Trouble in Paradise. Please note that ES is chewin...<i>Trouble in Paradise. Please note that ES is chewing on 59-point wide channel as I type.</i><br /><i>technicals do seem to be weakening for US equities.</i><br /><br />The dip in US equities is being furiously bought during today's European session. A bear trap for beginner traders who lack experience. If any of you had learnt anything this past 8 years you'd have bought this dip and been up 0.5% in the past 2 hours... instead you're once again offside. Will you ever learn?Anonymousnoreply@blogger.comtag:blogger.com,1999:blog-34323687.post-29393757133850414472018-03-14T02:56:02.748+00:002018-03-14T02:56:02.748+00:00@LB, the s/t damage to charts has been done and ma...@LB, the s/t damage to charts has been done and may not be repaired this soon for OpEx squeeze to matter. SPX may rally on OpEx shenanigans after Fri open but not significantly, imho. Here is what I see in ES (E-mini S&P500 Futures) from the time of this comment (all times are EST):<br /><br />1. Bottoms at around midnight to 1am (a few hrs after this comment is posted) @ 2758-59.<br />2. Rallies into tomorrow's open and stalls around 9:30-10am @ 2780-84.<br />3. Sells off hard for two sessions into Fri open with targets of 2690-2700.<br />4. Rallies shortly after Fri open into the end of the session on short covering but stalls at around 2720.<br /><br />My crystall ball is muddied after that (to be revisited after weekend news vacuum or a bang, you never know these days with POTUS), but I say this time it will take more than a few exemptions on steel tariffs to rejuvenate the animal sprits. Pick your poison, Apprentice - The White House Edition, trade war with China, EU or God knows who else, further slowdown in consumer spending (the real story and a total head scratcher for players who thought employment would drive it higher) reflected in main drivers of the economy: housing, autos, retail (watch the sales at 8:30am tomorrow to be weak). I am not seeing anything that makes me believe SPX is capable of taking out 2872 any time soon. We trade this tape two ways and enjoy the volatility while it lasts, but my bias is to the downside at the moment for sure.IPAhttps://www.blogger.com/profile/14823892667440934141noreply@blogger.com