tag:blogger.com,1999:blog-34323687.post5823732114404024142..comments2024-03-19T03:05:57.184+00:00Comments on Macro Man: Le jeu est faitMacro Manhttp://www.blogger.com/profile/12324967552369915949noreply@blogger.comBlogger25125tag:blogger.com,1999:blog-34323687.post-92102176253194105112014-08-07T10:17:42.705+01:002014-08-07T10:17:42.705+01:00C Says
Anon 4.26
I'd hold off on that Uk state...C Says<br />Anon 4.26<br />I'd hold off on that Uk statement were I you. There's a world of difference between pump and dump election policy and something that will sustain. My best guess is for the UK we're just coming to the end period of phase 1 in the 'pump'.Anonymousnoreply@blogger.comtag:blogger.com,1999:blog-34323687.post-43383153432177911462014-08-06T16:56:28.148+01:002014-08-06T16:56:28.148+01:00@LB: My 2008 predicion was "at best we'll...@LB: My 2008 predicion was "at best we'll end up Japanesque". Well, UK is not there, but I was right on EU, so I got something right.. Anonymousnoreply@blogger.comtag:blogger.com,1999:blog-34323687.post-69577444467440838662014-08-06T14:01:28.984+01:002014-08-06T14:01:28.984+01:00Cockage indeed, me old China.
Now then, we alread...Cockage indeed, me old China.<br /><br />Now then, we already have a 1.1% Bund. We are quite clearly looking at a 1% 10y in the near future in a country that is not Japan. So, to all those of an über-bondbearish or hyper inflationary disposition, we hate to disabuse you of your strongly held prejudices but LOOK AT THE DATA.<br /><br />You can QEase all you want, but as Mr P points out it's just papering over the underlying and ongoing Depression. In 2008, I asked some blokes if we would get the 1930s or the 1970s, the consensus was that it would be some weird fusion of the two.<br /><br />Leftbacknoreply@blogger.comtag:blogger.com,1999:blog-34323687.post-12257394977821824272014-08-06T13:11:28.302+01:002014-08-06T13:11:28.302+01:00Mr Uberbull here LB ,
Yes its looking as through ...Mr Uberbull here LB , <br />Yes its looking as through the paper is showing the cracks underneath. Lots of small ones all ading up to some serious structural weakness. <br /><br />Agree with EM, thats the part that is weighing as we have the Eurozone looking a tad 2012esque again. Agree with US foreign policy, seems to be one of fermentation encouraging foreign home-brews rather than sterilising solutions. <br /><br />Anyway, this painful for the likes of me. And I have to say the Kevla on the gloves didn't withstand the last slice of BES falling from 35c to the ground floor. <br /><br />Oh Cockage. <br /><br />Polemichttps://www.blogger.com/profile/05985506596290073453noreply@blogger.comtag:blogger.com,1999:blog-34323687.post-63099202268529476582014-08-06T12:57:21.594+01:002014-08-06T12:57:21.594+01:00Don't look now, MM, but we have negative Schat...Don't look now, MM, but we have negative Schatz again. Germany just printed some really bad data and Italy is in a recession. If it ever left.Leftbacknoreply@blogger.comtag:blogger.com,1999:blog-34323687.post-37556797024545018112014-08-06T12:36:11.742+01:002014-08-06T12:36:11.742+01:00MM's interest in Gazprom and other Russian ass...MM's interest in Gazprom and other Russian assets might be growing today. Looks like we will see more bargain prices this morning, although then again, there might be another fire sale tomorrow, and the day after, and next week, and the week after that... a lot depends on how emerging markets in general behave in the face of US equity weakness. (Btw, good morning, last week's perennial überbulls and JBTFDers).<br /><br />You'd still have to say that buying shares in Gazprom here would be like having options on the world not going back to a 1970s Cold War with an effective partition as severe as the Iron Curtain, with all the economic retrenchment that implies. Given the state of Russia's economic and political relations with Germany, I'll take that bet. <br /><br />Quite why the U.S. is so keen on the Ukrainian government in Kiev annihilating its own citizenry in the East is a topic for another day and another forum. We don't generally belabor politics here, which is often what enables one to take advantage of investment opportunity.Leftbacknoreply@blogger.comtag:blogger.com,1999:blog-34323687.post-50776512414290674942014-08-05T19:04:23.864+01:002014-08-05T19:04:23.864+01:00Lost a fingernail on the BES punt. Meh.
And now ...Lost a fingernail on the BES punt. Meh. <br /><br />And now I cant even short HYG/JNK, no available shares. abee crombiehttps://www.blogger.com/profile/13320039155613443039noreply@blogger.comtag:blogger.com,1999:blog-34323687.post-90426389589871812652014-08-05T13:24:36.544+01:002014-08-05T13:24:36.544+01:00Rolling thunder...
"Crédit Agricole Takes $9...Rolling thunder...<br /><br />"Crédit Agricole Takes $950 Million Charge on Portuguese Bank"Anonymousnoreply@blogger.comtag:blogger.com,1999:blog-34323687.post-47714403941533761162014-08-05T13:21:09.862+01:002014-08-05T13:21:09.862+01:00"A book on Ricardo Espírito Santo Silva Salga..."A book on Ricardo Espírito Santo Silva Salgado published in Portugal is called “O Último Banqueiro” (“The Last Banker”)"<br /><br />http://imgur.com/3DHwXv4Anonymousnoreply@blogger.comtag:blogger.com,1999:blog-34323687.post-51911084267306549692014-08-04T17:57:19.795+01:002014-08-04T17:57:19.795+01:00Equity and junior debt holders of BES more or less...Equity and junior debt holders of BES more or less wiped out, senior debt and depositors bailed out. Another interesting turn of events and another new variant along the continuum of "bail-out" to "bail-in". <br /><br />At least this one makes some kind of sense in terms of the risk hierarchy and accepted rules of capital structure. Lucky our Kevlar body suit has been at the cleaners, as we had been thinking about a punt late last week. Our commiserations to anyone who lost a toe or two along the way.<br /><br />While you are pondering this, worth wondering about the junior debt and what institutions took the losses on that. Guessing someone decided the collateral damage was limited enough.Leftbacknoreply@blogger.comtag:blogger.com,1999:blog-34323687.post-9131513319460865452014-08-04T13:57:09.345+01:002014-08-04T13:57:09.345+01:00Eurozone CPI ( YOY ) falls to 5 year low...
http:...Eurozone CPI ( YOY ) falls to 5 year low...<br /><br />http://imgur.com/61TwPzCAnonymousnoreply@blogger.comtag:blogger.com,1999:blog-34323687.post-66219380353752767322014-08-04T13:38:28.939+01:002014-08-04T13:38:28.939+01:00Instruction manual on how to rip off a bank...
ht...Instruction manual on how to rip off a bank...<br /><br />http://www.pieria.co.uk/articles/how_to_rip_off_a_bank_esprito_santo_style<br /><br />DB is next.Anonymousnoreply@blogger.comtag:blogger.com,1999:blog-34323687.post-67809118081127306012014-08-03T21:45:25.548+01:002014-08-03T21:45:25.548+01:00"Sartre's primary idea is that people, as..."Sartre's primary idea is that people, as humans, are "condemned to be free".<br /><br />I watch a doco about this guy, and his someone I wouldn't wanted to pit against.But hey, your free to do so.amplitudeinthehousenoreply@blogger.comtag:blogger.com,1999:blog-34323687.post-17693630554556494342014-08-03T16:18:55.175+01:002014-08-03T16:18:55.175+01:00Well Hotair, I followed that link nd read the rest...Well Hotair, I followed that link nd read the rest of it and actually was caught by the last line of Satre's purpose --><br /><br />"All that keeps us from leading useless, fleeting lives is our power and freedom to interact with the surrounding world according to our own choices"<br /> <br />Powerful but I'd add - unless its trading, which is interacting with the surrounding world according to our own choices but hardly progresses us on from leading useless, fleeting lives! Polemichttps://www.blogger.com/profile/05985506596290073453noreply@blogger.comtag:blogger.com,1999:blog-34323687.post-69478943709645506922014-08-03T15:17:09.917+01:002014-08-03T15:17:09.917+01:00I thought you were echoing Jean Paul Sartre:
Plot...I thought you were echoing Jean Paul Sartre:<br /><br />Plot synopsis (wiki):<br /><br />Ève and Pierre have never met each other in their respective lives. At the beginning of the book, Ève is very sick, and unknown to her, her husband André is poisoning her in order to marry her sister Lucette and keep the dowry. Pierre on the other hand is planning a revolution, but is killed by his friend Lucien. Both Pierre and Ève do not realize that they have been dead for a while. Pierre and Ève realize different truths about their own lives as they walk invisibly as ghosts amongst the living, with the power to interact only with other deceased souls. Pierre and Ève have difficulty adjusting to this powerless condition. They meet each other in line to register at a bureaucratic clearing house for the recently deceased where both of them slowly find out that there has been a mistake in the paperwork. They are surprised to learn that according to article 140, they were predestined to be soulmates.<br /><br />Successfully appealing their case, Pierre and Ève are brought back to life and given twenty-four hours to show their love to each other, or their second chance at living will be revoked. However, they are each distracted by unfinished business from their previous lives. Because Ève was poisoned by her husband, she wants to convince her sister that he is not a good man. Pierre wants to stop the revolution to overthrow the Regency that he had planned, because in death he discovered the Regent knew about it, and realizes that if carried out, it will result in the massacre of his friends and the end of the resistance.<br /><br />Unable to explain the unique circumstances in which they acquired their knowledge, they both have difficulty convincing their friends that they know what is the right thing to do. Neither is able to completely dissociate themselves from the things that were once important to them, and they realize that by not concentrating on their love they might be sacrificing their second chance at life.Alhttps://www.blogger.com/profile/14381013196081166483noreply@blogger.comtag:blogger.com,1999:blog-34323687.post-48618525606070902712014-08-01T20:44:15.679+01:002014-08-01T20:44:15.679+01:00It's funny you know, when I heard that futures...It's funny you know, when I heard that futures trader the other day say to the bears " bitches " it never left me you know.<br />Just saying.amplitudeinthehousenoreply@blogger.comtag:blogger.com,1999:blog-34323687.post-83308695976448775122014-08-01T18:38:24.087+01:002014-08-01T18:38:24.087+01:00Ian Fleming himself attended the University of Gen...Ian Fleming himself attended the University of Geneva, and in the books, so did Bond, after a spell at Fettes. They probably changed it to Cambridge to make him seem more "English" in the films to the US audience that often misses the nuances of British regional accents. Obviously, Sean was about as English as a haggis...Leftbacknoreply@blogger.comtag:blogger.com,1999:blog-34323687.post-69862779662635375892014-08-01T18:28:04.339+01:002014-08-01T18:28:04.339+01:00Actually , the last time I visited a University li...Actually , the last time I visited a University library I was given a free book ,that was after I had the pleasure of accompanying a delightful young lady to library having asked me where it was...Oh,the title of the book was Game Theory...<br />Naturally the guys there said <br /><br />DON'T SEND IT BACK, WHATEVER YOU DOamplitudeinthehousenoreply@blogger.comtag:blogger.com,1999:blog-34323687.post-85720714594476682282014-08-01T17:42:26.560+01:002014-08-01T17:42:26.560+01:00Actually, in the books Bond attended university i...Actually, in the books Bond attended university in Geneva. Warwick PPE was as close as I could get to Walther PPK howeverMacro Manhttps://www.blogger.com/profile/12324967552369915949noreply@blogger.comtag:blogger.com,1999:blog-34323687.post-86614365500946028872014-08-01T17:37:56.371+01:002014-08-01T17:37:56.371+01:00the bottom just fell outta HYG. Yeah DB sucks, tho...the bottom just fell outta HYG. Yeah DB sucks, though I still want to buy UBS if this sell off continues.<br /><br />MBLY is this months GPROabee crombiehttps://www.blogger.com/profile/13320039155613443039noreply@blogger.comtag:blogger.com,1999:blog-34323687.post-55606745469057524362014-08-01T17:18:23.562+01:002014-08-01T17:18:23.562+01:00LB, the guv'nor never steps in the Shatin bett...LB, the guv'nor never steps in the Shatin betting ring to back another filly until his sure the last race has been declared correct weight o'l son.<br />What really wants mentioning is the fact you didn't even need any kodak film for the print...it's splashed everywhere :)amplitudeinthehousenoreply@blogger.comtag:blogger.com,1999:blog-34323687.post-65639074022241542282014-08-01T17:16:39.517+01:002014-08-01T17:16:39.517+01:00Just had a thought, wonder if Banco Espirito Santo...Just had a thought, wonder if Banco Espirito Santo was a seller of Argentina CDS? One of the things you learn in this business is that many more things are connected at some level than might at first appear.<br /><br />The first lot of dip buyers (yesterday's mini bounce at SPX 1940, the 50 day) are looking red-faced. It's worth recalling that this is still less than 4% off the all-time highs, so no need for bulls to pee their pants yet, unless they really need to. Ah, leverage.Leftbacknoreply@blogger.comtag:blogger.com,1999:blog-34323687.post-4468320014897804782014-08-01T17:10:21.752+01:002014-08-01T17:10:21.752+01:00Exceptional. You have returned to your métier, old...Exceptional. You have returned to your métier, old man. Nobody does a pastiche of literature and finance like MM.<br /><br />(LB channels a crusty old Q, here). Now, DO pay attention, double-oh-nine, as we all know from the early films, Bond studied at Cambridge University, where he (Bond) achieved a Double First in Oriental languages.<br /><br />You knew that though, guv'nor, didn't you?<br /><br />Decent week here, although the sell-off was a bit deeper than anticipated and we didn't quite get it right. But then, one never does, does one?<br /><br />Anyone seen those Permabulls from Wednesday?Leftbacknoreply@blogger.comtag:blogger.com,1999:blog-34323687.post-73530601332668213342014-08-01T16:08:42.220+01:002014-08-01T16:08:42.220+01:00DB has not been below $34 since September 2012 ......DB has not been below $34 since September 2012 ... its there nowAnonymousnoreply@blogger.comtag:blogger.com,1999:blog-34323687.post-54049688648276468742014-08-01T15:59:27.526+01:002014-08-01T15:59:27.526+01:00Yeah, we've all been cropped,James...but a goo...Yeah, we've all been cropped,James...but a good day at shatin ,win or lose gets you soon over that. Try it one day, and at the same time find yourself outstanding European filly in the yard.<br /><br />amplitudeinthehousenoreply@blogger.com