A simple model Macro Man Friday, February 27, 2015 35 Comments Macro Man So the US economy is not, in fact, falling off a cliff...just yet. Although durable goods orders are notoriously noisy, yesterday's sol... Read More
Something for everyone Macro Man Wednesday, February 25, 2015 53 Comments Macro Man Janet Yellen's testimony yesterday had something for everyone (except owners of puts, natch.) Of course, these days 'balanced' ... Read More
How ya left? Macro Man Monday, February 23, 2015 55 Comments Macro Man So Greece is not, after all, leaving the euro....yet. The recent agreement was as uninspiring as it was unsurprising, a classic example of ... Read More
A multiple choice quiz Macro Man Thursday, February 19, 2015 32 Comments Macro Man Yesterday's minutes reveal that the Fed is: a) Justifiably concerned about the lack of global demand b) Ignoring nascent signs of re... Read More
An update on leverage (sort of) Macro Man Wednesday, February 18, 2015 14 Comments Macro Man Following on from a conversation that he had over the weekend, Macro Man got to thinking about a post he did last summer on the financial l... Read More
Which is more likely? Macro Man Friday, February 13, 2015 80 Comments Macro Man That the Michigan consumer sentiment survey..... ...the Conference Board measure.... ....and even the OECD index of US consumer... Read More
Near term bottom or the pause that refreshes? Macro Man Wednesday, February 11, 2015 75 Comments Macro Man What are we to do with the euro? Macro Man has been running short for some time now, doing a little trading around as circumstances warran... Read More
What now? Macro Man Monday, February 09, 2015 47 Comments Macro Man So what happens now? The US employment data confounded both the expectations of predictive models (such as, cough cough, that belonging to... Read More
A payroll shocker? Macro Man Friday, February 06, 2015 25 Comments Macro Man Another month, another payroll figure. Although the Fed is not currently in play they conceivably could be in a few months, thus setting u... Read More
Correctamundo Macro Man Wednesday, February 04, 2015 48 Comments Macro Man February has not exactly gotten off to a wonderful start for a number of consensus positions in macro-land. The euro, for example, has stra... Read More
Alexis Tsipras Will You Please Go Now! Macro Man Monday, February 02, 2015 67 Comments Macro Man Snowed in yet again, Macro Man has been left to peruse his bookshelves. In the children's section of his library he found a new volume... Read More