Friday, June 20, 2014

School's out for summer

School's out for summer today, so Macro Man's taking the day off from watching markets to take the Macro Boys to the beach.  Normal service resumes next week.



Here's hoping the market treats readers as gently as the England defence treated Luis Suarez....
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5 comments:

  1. abee crombieJune 20, 2014 at 1:49 PM

    Thanks MM, that video just makes me feel old ;-)

    The Asset-Rich, Income-Poor Economy, Druckenmiller and Feds Warsh in WSJ

    Link

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  2. LeftbackJune 20, 2014 at 5:45 PM

    Enjoy the beach, MM. LB is at lunch, having another slice of Humble Pie, (this tastes a lot like a s**t sandwich), as another small heaping of puts expires, along with the hopes of the England football team. Meanwhile the CONCACAF teams have already won three games, which is three more than England, Portugal and Spain combined...

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  3. LeftbackJune 20, 2014 at 6:07 PM

    Meanwhile, if markets peak on Good News, there it is, like a beacon. It is the Q2 GDP release, out there ahead of us on July 30. Our present expectation is that MM is correct and that the recent snoozeworthy market conditions remain in place until then. Fans of US fixed income will likely have to endure more media frenzy around each data blip, and also survive the July auctions, but should be rewarded for their patience.

    With the much-ballyhooed Q2 "US recovery" of [4-5% Q2 '14 and 3% 2014] likely to be revealed as closer to [3.5% Q2 '14 and 1.5% 2014], and with precious little of the QE elixir left in Dame Janet's decanter, it's not difficult to see August being The Beginning of the End of The World as We Know It, at least as far as the low volatility, endless sea of liquidity regime is concerned.

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  4. AnonymousJune 21, 2014 at 3:52 PM

    "...it's not difficult to see August being The Beginning of the End of The World as We Know It, at least as far as the low volatility, endless sea of liquidity regime is concerned."

    Could you expand on that, LB? Should I buy VXX calls?

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  5. NicoJune 22, 2014 at 1:37 PM

    GDP release ain't no market mover - your puts expired and you now wish to save a month of theta before reentering well market is never that cute, it will tank precisely when most expect it to be quiet i.e the next 4 weeks. Why? just because

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